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The spotlight this week will be placed on the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls report for the month of August. Economists are expecting the labor market in the world’s largest economy to plunge 103,000 after payrolls took a free fall of 131,000 in July. With waning fiscal stimulus likely to impede the recovery in the U.S. in conjunction with tight credit conditions, and an uncertain economic outlook, a disappointing NFP report should not be ruled out. In turn, figures less than expected may lead traders to seek safety, which will lead to gains in the greenback and validate further EUR/USD losses. Market participants should not rule out whipsaw price action ahead of the report or a less than usual reaction to the release as some traders are offline going into the holiday weekend.
It is a common phenomenon for the capital markets. With the approach of heavy event risk like US nonfarm payrolls, speculative liquidity sources will temper their turnover to avoid being caught on the wrong side of a fast moving market.
Bollinger Bands have long been one of the most popular technical indicators across financial markets, and many forex traders use them regularly in their day-to-day trading. The key question to ask of any forex analysis technique is nonetheless clear: how effective is the Bollinger Bands indicator as a forex strategy? This article will take a closer look at one key Bollinger Band trading strategy on several forex pairs and explores one way to improve its effectiveness.
Student\'s QuestionI read all the time about \"aggressive\" in contrast to \"conservative\" traders. I simply have no idea what I should be! Could you maybe comment on contrasts between these two \"types of traders\". How should I behave? What brings more profit or what preconditions or situations should I look at to know if I should act aggressive or conservative?
The U.S. dollar could face increased selling pressures over the next 24 hours of trading as market participants anticipate the labor market to weaken for the third consecutive month in August, and the data is likely to reinforce a dour outlook for the world’s largest economy as private sector spending remains one of the leading drivers of growth.
Sharp US Dollar declines have been met with similarly noteworthy shifts in FX Options market sentiment, thwarting calls for USD rallies through short-term trade. In past weeks we wrote plainly in favor of Dollar strength on the combination of overextended futures positioning and sharp correction in FX Options risk reversals. Yet more recently we have seen pullbacks in both and have little option but to shift our short-term bias.
EURUSD – Euro Forecast Turns Bullish Against US Dollar
GBPUSD – British Pound Bias Calls for Weakness
USDJPY – Japanese Yen Forecast to Gain Further
USDCHF – Swiss Franc Likely to Strengthen against Dollar
USDCAD – Canadian Dollar May Appreciate Against USD
GBPJPY – British Pound Forecast to decline Against Japanese Yen
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The USDCAD has pared yesterday’s decline and has found support at the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement on the April 21st to May 25th upswing ahead of the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls report. As price action has been range bound for the past couple of sessions, a potential long intraday trade may be in the horizon subsequent to the U.S. labor force report.
The pattern of the decline from 16000 is not clear-so the decline is probably not complete. One possibility is a double zigzag. The 2 legs would be equal at 14980, which is defended by the July 12th low.